Finance
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon highlights that Czech National Bank policy expectations have risen alongside the ECB, yet the Czech Koruna is sliding on a nominal effective basis. He argues that closely matching Eurozone tighten…
Finance
Christopher Wong notes that Korean Won strength remains largely flow-driven, with USD/KRW dropping below 1,500 on offshore fund repatriation and official vigilance. While bearish momentum persists, Wong expects the pull…
Finance
ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that the Federal Reserve’s June minutes confirmed a more hawkish stance despite an unchanged policy rate. They highlight that nine officials pencilled in higher…
Finance
TD Securities strategists have downgraded its Aluminium price outlook as supply recovers and demand softens. They now expect Aluminium to average $3,378/t in 2026 and $3,281/t in 2027, projecting smaller deficits and a …
Finance
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is flat on Thursday but modestly firmer versus the US Dollar (USD) this week, making it a mild outperformer. They argue much bad news …
Finance
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term. The analyst reiterates that a close above 6.8080 …
Finance
USD/CAD trades around 1.4170 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as weakness in the US Dollar (USD) offsets the negative impact of lower Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
Finance
EUR/USD holds modest gains on Thursday, supported by some softness in the US Dollar (USD) as markets assess renewed hostilities in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1444, up 0.25% on the …
Finance
Dow Jones futures gain 0.17% to trade around 52,710 during European trading hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.34% and 0.74%, trading near 7,550 and 29,690, respectively.
Finance
RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets discusses how Euro sentiment has cooled after optimism around Germany’s debt brake, with political risks and structural headwinds weighing on the currency. The bank notes EUR/USD …
Finance
Chris Turner at ING highlights that EUR/USD has held up despite higher Oil, as Euro swap rates outperformed US rates on expectations of an ECB hike in September. However, he argues the Fed narrative will dominate, with …
Finance
The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks. The discussions show a consensus …
Finance
Deutsche Bank Research’s Early Morning Reid notes that European assets are sensitive to the renewed energy shock. Market pricing for ECB hikes by December rose sharply, implying a chance of three hikes this year after J…
Finance
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The USD/INR pair drops to near 95.40 as the US Dollar ticks lower; however, the outlook of the pair remains bullish as renewed Middle East hos…
Finance
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the previous day's pullback from the 101.25-101.30 region and attracts some follow-through sellers on Thursday. The index tou…
Finance
USD/JPY trades slightly lower on Thursday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) lends support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 162.45, hovering near 40-year highs.
Finance
Thu Lan Nguyen at Commerzbank notes that EUR/USD has traded in a narrow range and appears largely unaffected by Iran-related headlines, as the correlation with Oil has weakened. She highlights that markets now price Fed…
Finance
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions. Fu…
Finance
The British Pound (GBP) is pulling lower against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, after hitting a fresh all-time high at 218.01 earlier on the day. The pair has returned to the mid-range of the 217.00s at the time of…
Finance
The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand early Thursday despite a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US economic calendar will feature weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales data f…
Finance
Silver (XAG/USD) is trimming losses on Thursday, and hitting session highs just above $59.00 after bouncing from $57.22 lows on Wednesday. US Dollar’s pullback has given some oxygen to the battered precious metals, alth…
Finance
EUR/CAD gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 1.6210 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency cross remains stronger following stronger-than-expected trade data from Germany.
Finance
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that Oil prices fell after the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding allowed Persian Gulf supply to recover faster than expected, while demand lagged. He now forecasts Brent at $80/bbl in 3Q26…
Finance
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan reports that June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes show policymakers increasingly concerned that US inflation could stay elevated, with some seeing a case for a rate hike. Most participants…