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Japanese Yen falls as Hormuz tensions and policy concerns weigh

USD/JPY trades higher near 162.40 on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens amid escalating tensions between the United States (US) and Iran. The US Dollar (USD) remains supported by higher Oil prices and growing conc…

Finance

Equities: Positioning signals recovery optionality – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Emerging Markets (EM) equity positioning is heavily skewed toward South Korea and Taiwan, with the rest of EM seeing historically low allocations. China’s weakness and poor EM data have al…

Finance

US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%. He also points to multiple Fed speakers…

Finance

Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists. They still project the Fed will keep rates on…

Finance

Crude Oil finds a toll booth where its ceasefire used to be

Crude Oil is repricing the death of a framework rather than any single missile exchange. West Texas Intermediate trades near $75.00, up close to 5%, with Brent near $80.00, after Trump declared the United States will re…

Finance

British Pound falls as Oil shock boosts the US Dollar

The Pound Sterling begins the week on a lower note, as over-the-weekend developments in the Middle East fueled inflation expectations due to the rise in Oil prices. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3369, …

Finance

British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change it…

Finance

US President Trump: We are taking over the Strait of Hormuz

In an interview with Fox News on Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will probably take over the Strait of Hormuz and argued that they should be reimbursed for controlling it.

Finance

New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB

UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated. They keep their OCR forecast …

Finance

Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY

BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment. Yu stresses that the Strait of Hormuz is now the key macro channel…

Finance

US Dollar: Higher energy supports Fed tightening – ING

ING analysts Chris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky and Francesco Pesole note that higher energy prices and tensions in the Gulf are supporting the Dollar against low-yielding currencies. They highlight that US energy indepen…

Finance

Oil: Markets price renewed Hormuz risks – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Michael Every discusses rising geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz after the apparent collapse of a US-Iran memorandum of understanding. Every notes both sides are now striking each other,…

Finance

Australian Dollar underperforms amid cautious market mood

The Australian Dollar (AUD) underperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.32% lower to near 0.6930 against the US Dollar (USD) during the early European trading session at the start of the week. The antipodean is un…