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LatAm FX: Carry supports resilience against US Dollar - BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu sees Latin American currencies underpinned by strong balance-of-payments positions and attractive carry, even as global equity nerves rise. Yu notes that conflict-era inflows have created a solid buffer a…

Finance

Canadian Dollar: Inflation cools as BoC stays patient – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Abbey Xu notes that Canadian inflation eased in June, with Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowing to 2.8% year-over-year and energy prices reversing part of their earlier surge. Underlying measu…

Finance

Euro: ECB pause seen limiting downside against US Dollar – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the ECB to leave rates at 2.25% this week after June’s 25 bps hike, maintaining a data-dependent stance without new projections. Markets fully price a September hike …

Finance

Oil: Diplomatic risk keeps prices supported – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Iran’s signals of continued military response alongside active mediation keep the Middle East conflict in a managed but unstable phase. This backdrop leaves Oil prices higher after recent strik…

Finance

UK PM Starmer: My work is done

United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer, the seventh PM since Britain’s exit from the European Union (EU), delivers his resignation to King Charles at Buckingham Palace. Keir said in his final speech that h…

Finance

Euro: Growth validation needed for value case – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Euro (EUR) assets show emerging value as the European Central Bank (ECB) holds policy and inflation pressures ease, but stresses that Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and earnings must co…

Finance

Fed: On-hold stance with upside hike risk – TD Securities

TD Securities expects the Federal Reserve to keep the Fed funds rate unchanged through 2026, as inflation stays above target and the labor market stabilizes. The bank notes a mixed Fedspeak backdrop, a blurrier reaction…

Finance

US Dollar Index: Higher energy supports DXY recovery – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that deteriorating Gulf headlines and higher energy prices are keeping the Dollar supported, even if US Dollar Index (DXY) remains about 1% below its June peak. Softer United States (US) Consume…

Finance

British Pound: Burnham honeymoon meets fiscal reality – ING

ING’s Chris Turner writes that Sterling has benefited from expectations Andy Burnham will appoint a fiscally cautious chancellor, alongside stale short positioning and M&A-related flows into United Kingdom (UK) equities…

Finance

Japanese Yen: BoJ expectations skewed to upside – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Japan’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) to edge higher across headline and core measures, with core ex fresh food and energy steady at 1.8%. Swaps discount a 25 bps B…

Finance

Why is IP stock rallying today?

The US stock market surge today is not just about one earnings beat or one piece of economic data. It is the product of a very strange, very specific moment in financial history — where geopolitical chaos, an oil shock,…