Home / Finance

Finance

Finance

Gold slips as Warsh Fed hike bets, Oil rally lift US yields

Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats some 0.40% on Monday after last Friday's hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh, which sparked speculation of a possible rate hike at the September meeting. Despite this…

Finance

China: Easing case strengthens on weak PMIs – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao argues that two months of broad Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) contraction leave China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth tracking below the official 4.5%-5.0% target, intensifying press…

Finance

August was three good days for the Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed just short of 53,300, roughly 250 points and about 0.5% lower, after American forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island and Tehran answered with missile and drone…

Finance

Bank of Canada: Tariffs reshape rate risks – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Ethan Currie expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% and maintain current balance sheet policy. They argue markets still overprice late-202…

Finance

Silver rebounds, but Fed rate-hike threat hangs over the metal

Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds on Monday and trades around $66.70 at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day. The main obstacle to a stronger recovery in Silver remains the shift in expectations surrounding the Federal Rese…

Finance

US Dollar: Warsh boosts policy credibility – OCBC

OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech eased debasement concerns and supported the Dollar, with Gold lower and the US yield curve flatter. They say structur…

Finance

Oil: geopolitical support and Venezuela deal risk – BNY

BNY’s Wee Khoon Chong notes Oil prices are underpinned by renewed U.S.–Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz and President Trump’s claim of a deal granting U.S. majority control over Venezuela’s vast reserves. Chong s…

Finance

Bank of Canada: Policy on hold as tariffs bite – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% at the September 2 meeting and through 2027, despite markets pricing in around 17bp of tightening by year-end. They highlight stro…

Finance

Pound Sterling retreats as Japanese Yen attracts modest buying

GBP/JPY trades on the back foot on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against its major peers. The Pound Sterling (GBP), meanwhile, lacks a fresh domestic catalyst as UK markets remain closed for the Summer Ba…

Finance

US Dollar: Warsh speech supports greenback – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike. …

Finance

Indonesian Rupiah declines despite weaker US Dollar

USD/IDR extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 17,790 during the European hours on Monday. However, the upward momentum for USD/IDR remains capped by broader US Dollar (USD) weakness.

Finance

German yields hit multi-year highs after Warsh’s hawkish tone

It was a "good week" for the Australian dollar, the currency climbing to fresh leg highs of 0.7208 against the US dollar Friday night and reaching multi-year highs against several major currencies. However, the move cam…

Finance

Euro: Inflation test for ECB hike odds – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY argues that upcoming German CPI and Eurozone flash CPI are critical for European Central Bank expectations, with markets already pricing a near-certain September hike. While services inflation is softeni…

Finance

Street Calls of the Week

Wall Street kicked off the week with a flurry of bold calls on some of the market's most closely watched names, and at least one stock just scored a target price hike of more than 50 percent from a major…

Finance

South Korean Won: Higher rates and chip boom support gains – ING

ING’s Chris Turner reports that the Korean Won (KRW) continues to advance, driven by back-to-back Bank of Korea (BoK) rate hikes to 3.00% and a Dot Plot pointing to 3.25% in six months. Upgraded Gross Domestic Product (…