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Prediction markets are coming for pop culture

Times News, nota de política y spillovers (2026-10-06): Prediction market sites have quickly become popular across the U.S. These apps allow users to trade contracts on various events (including sports), with the… Fuente primaria: original en MarketWatch (marketwatch.com).

· MarketWatch

Prediction market sites have quickly become popular across the U.S. These apps allow users to trade contracts on various events (including sports), with the potential to profit if they predict correctly.

Anyone new to prediction markets is likely curious about which one to download. And even if you’re a seasoned trader, you may wonder if you’ve missed any exchanges that are worth your time.

Read on to find a comprehensive list of the best prediction market apps. SportsHandle ranks them based on their bonuses, market availability & liquidity, user experience, and more.

What Is a Prediction Market App?

A prediction market app puts the power of event trading in the hands of normal users.

Many users rely on prediction market apps to trade on the outcomes of sports, making these apps a desirable alternative to online sportsbooks.

However, prediction markets allow trading on tons of other events — politics, culture, entertainment, economic trends, scientific breakthroughs, world affairs, etc.

✅ Apps are regulated by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or state sweepstakes laws

✅ You can buy and sell Yes/No event contracts ranging from $0.01 to $0.99.

✅ If your event contract settles correctly, you earn $1.

✅ If your event contract settles incorrectly, you don’t earn anything.

Best Prediction Market Apps (According to SportsHandle)

SportsHandle has tested dozens of prediction market apps and ranks the best options for users like you:

Polymarket

Polymarket is the major name in the world of prediction apps.

After some back and forth, Polymarket is live in the U.S. and no longer using a waitlist.

Like Kalshi, Polymarket offers contracts on topics like sporting events, political speeches, weather events, etc. As it finishes its complete rollout, U.S. users should be able to trade on other events such as the chances of a U.S. recession.

Polymarket definitely has the most generous welcome bonus we’ve seen, but other positives include full CFTC regulation and an optimized mobile app that compensates for the lack of a desktop site that’s open for U.S. trading.

Curious how Polymarket compares to Kalshi? See this review from SportsHandle.

FanDuel Predicts

Similar to DraftKings, FanDuel became a household name in the world of legal sports betting.

The platform has launched its own prediction market with FanDuel Predicts. The platform is a partnership between FanDuel and derivatives marketplace CME Group.

The prediction app focuses on sports event contracts for basketball, hockey, football, and baseball. You may also use FanDuel Predicts to trade on culture, financials, crypto, and more.

Kalshi

Kalshi is one of the top prediction market apps in the U.S. In addition to its mobile app, it has a desktop platform that gives users a flexible online trading experience. Kalshi also offers one of the best prediction market promos around.

An even bigger draw of Kalshi is its wide market availability. Pretty much everything is fair game at Kalshi — think sports (including the Super Bowl), pop culture (reality TV), politics, economics, company news, and even cryptocurrency.

Kalshi offers prediction markets in science and technology as well, allowing users to forecast scientific developments. Examples of event contracts at Kalshi include the most-searched person on Google, the college football championship winner, and future Presidential election nominees.

Kalshi has one of the largest user bases in the prediction market space, which leads to consistently high trading volume. Market prices move quickly as users place and adjust positions in real time, creating dynamic markets and strong opportunities to find value.

Plus, Kalshi showcases a slick design. Given that many people have never used a prediction market, an easy-to-understand interface is a major benefit. With both the mobile app and the official website, Kalshi makes it simple to find a specific market, view the current price, and make a prediction.

Novig

Novig is now a CFTC-regulated prediction market app.

Users can use the app to earn Novig Points based on their play.

ProphetX

ProphetX is pretty similar to Novig in that it used to run on a sweepstakes model but is now a fully regulated prediction market app.

Users can make trades on sports markets. ProphetX is particularly popular for its same-game parlays, though trades are available for player props and other markets.

Fanatics Markets

Fanatics Markets is a standalone prediction market app with ties to the existing Fanatics ecosystem.

It officially launched in early December 2025, completing its rollout in two phases. Phase I introduced markets such as sports and politics, with other markets including those related to pop culture and economics not coming until Phase II.

To use Fanatics Markets, you’ll need a Fanatics ONE account, which integrates with Fanatics’ other products to offer a comprehensive experience for loyal users.

PrizePicks Predict

PrizePicks initially launched with a focus on DFS 2.0 picks. While not one of the traditional sportsbooks that have launched in the U.S., PrizePicks focuses on pick’em games.

However, the platform has launched PrizePicks prediction markets thanks to a partnership with Kalshi.

With PrizePicks Predict, users can trade contracts on individual sporting events and future outcomes, as well as culture. PrizePicks Predict currently only has Team and Culture prediction markets, but it may expand to politics or other event contracts in the future.

You can’t use PrizePicks Predict to trade on player props, as that feature is reserved for the DFS aspect of the

Betr Predictions

Betr is another DFS platform with plans to get into the prediction markets space. Betr Predictions has applied for an application with the CFTC. Stay tuned for updates from SportsHandle on whether this product from Jake Paul and Joey Levy will launch in the U.S. soon.

The prediction markets above also offer World Cup promos ahead of the 2026 tournament this summer in North America.

How Prediction Markets Work

Prediction markets work much like a stock market: you buy and sell event-based contracts priced between $0 and $1, with the price reflecting the market’s estimate of the event’s likelihood. A contract priced at 55¢ implies roughly a 55% chance of that outcome occurring.

You can trade on anything from sports results to election outcomes, and prices move as news breaks or sentiment shifts.

For example, if an NFL market lists the Rams at 70¢ and the Lions at 30¢ to win a game, a winning contract pays out $1. Buying the Rams at 70¢ would net you a 30¢ profit per contract if they win (e.g., $10 in contracts returns a $3 profit). Correctly backing the Lions at 30¢ would earn 70¢ per contract.

How Are Prediction Markets Regulated?

The prediction market industry is currently regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The organization helps oversee the growing world of event contracts and approves various sites, such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Having a major regulatory body like the CFTC overseeing prediction markets helps users feel more comfortable, as they know they’re using a legitimate platform.

Unlike online sports betting, prediction markets are regulated by the federal CFTC rather than state gambling laws.

What States Have Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets have gained significant popularity due to their wide availability. Currently, prediction markets can be used in most of the United States, as well as Washington, D.C.

However, some states don’t allow you to access specific prediction platforms because of their similarity to sports betting. Kalshi, for example, is unavailable in Arizona, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Montana, Maryland, Illinois and Washington. With the market going through so much change, it will be interesting to see if those states will begin launching Kalshi and other sites in the future.

How to Sign Up for the Best Prediction Market Sites

It only takes a few steps to register with a prediction market platform. Start by visiting the site, entering the required personal information, and funding your account.

To maximize value, be sure to use SportsHandle’s promo codes during signup.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the process:

  • Choose one of the prediction apps, such as Kalshi, Polymarket, etc.
  • Download the prediction app/visit the desktop site via our links.
  • Enter required personal information like email, physical address, phone number, social security number, and date of birth.
  • Confirm your account with phone or email.
  • Enter a promo code from SportsHandle to take advantage of a signup bonus.
  • Deposit funds into your new account.
  • Start finding markets and making predictions.

Popular Contract Types at the Best Prediction Markets

One of the major draws of prediction market apps is the ability to predict so many real-world events. Thankfully, the top prediction market sites offer a variety of event contracts to buy and sell on popular topics.

Here are some of the most popular markets you’ll find at prediction apps:

    • Sports: You can trade contracts on some of the top sports leagues across the world, such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, UFC, and FIFA. For example, you can sell or buy contracts on the outcome of individual games, division winners, and league champions.
    • Politics: There’s a wide variety of political markets to check out, such as the Presidential nominee for a particular party, whether specific bills will be passed, and which individuals will visit the White House. It’s possible to predict if a politician such as Donald Trump will say certain words in an upcoming speech or more general election markets.
    • Pop Culture: Some of the most varied markets come in the pop culture category. These include which film will win the Oscar for Best Picture, the next actor to portray James Bond, and the critical reception score of an upcoming release.
    • Trending News: Several different trending topics get attention on prediction market sites. These markets tend to reflect stories that are receiving attention, such as an upcoming award or end-of-year issues.
    • Economics: Some unique issues can be predicted in the economic category, such as gas prices, unemployment rates, inflation, and even egg prices.
    • World Events: If you’re interested in predicting events outside of the U.S., there are plenty of worldwide event contracts across different sites. Some examples include politicians visiting certain countries and even the future of a specific country’s economy.
    • Tech: Technology-related markets focused on different companies and products are also live on various sites. With the massive growth of artificial intelligence, there are contracts available for regulations, and which platform will see the most use.
    • Weather: One of the simplest markets to check out with prediction apps is the weather. In addition to simply predicting if the weather will be over or under a specific number, you can trade contracts on the amount of rain in a particular city over the course of a month.

What’s Unique About Sports Contracts at Prediction Markets?

With sports contracts live on all the top prediction market sites, users have plenty of options for making predictions on everything from the outcome of a game to the winner of a particular award. These options are similarly available at traditional sportsbooks.

However, the significant difference is that sportsbooks set the odds on each available wager, while the prices of sports event contracts are determined by supply and demand. Additionally, prediction market apps are much more widely available than online sports betting, meaning you can trade sports contracts in many areas with no legal wagering.

Read More: Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks

What Are Social Prediction Markets?

In addition to the prediction markets listed on this page, there is a variety of social prediction market sites to check out. These include sites like Verse Picks, which lets users predict different sporting events, much like with apps like Kalshi.

The major difference is that the CFTC doesn’t oversee sweepstakes prediction markets (also known as social prediction markets). Instead, these apps comply with state sweepstakes law. They require users to make predictions with a specific sweepstakes currency instead of real money.

Pros and Cons of Prediction Markets

Know the advantages and disadvantages of prediction markets before signing up:

Pros ✅

    • Users set market price
    • A growing variety of prediction sites to choose from
    • Plenty of different types of events to predict

Cons ❌

    • Facing challenges from some state governments
    • Could offer more bonuses

Common Banking Options at Prediction Market Platforms

There are numerous banking options for prediction market apps.

Some of the most popular payment methods include debit cards, credit cards, and online bank transfers. Certain apps also accept cryptocurrency for payments.

Withdrawals can also be made with some of these top banking methods.

Responsible Trading at Prediction Markets

No matter which prediction app you sign up for, it’s essential to focus on responsible trading. Because you’re risking real money with these platforms, it’s vital to set personal limits.

Many markets offer responsible trading tools such as caps on funding or a voluntary opt-out. You can contact an app’s customer service team to discuss other responsible trading tools and practices.

For support, reach out to the National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-GAMBLER.

SportsHandle’s Tips for Using the Best Prediction Market Apps

While signing up for a new prediction market, you should choose one of the best platforms on the market. Our current recommendation is Kalshi, but you can also try out Crypto.com and FanDuel Predicts.

With these platforms, users in most U.S. states can make predictions on topics ranging from politics and pop culture to sports and economics.

If you’re registering for a prediction site, here are some tips you should keep in mind:

    • Always choose a legitimate prediction app
    • Keep an eye out for any new-user promo codes
    • Conduct research before making a prediction
    • Make sure to practice responsible trading

Best Prediction Market Apps FAQs

What is the best prediction market app?

Polymarket is the best prediction market platform that is currently available, largely due to its optimized app and generous welcome bonus. Be sure to claim your welcome $25 bonus using code HANDLE.

Are prediction markets legal?

You can trade event contracts with prediction apps in most U.S. states. However, some states such as New Jersey and Nevada don’t offer popular sites like Kalshi.

Is there a Kalshi referral code?

New users can sign up with a Kalshi referral code HANDLE to get an excellent welcome bonus of $25 after you trade your first $25.

Are sports markets available on prediction market platforms?

You can buy and sell contracts on a wide range of sporting events through prediction markets. The top apps let you predict game outcomes, player performances, championship winners, and more for the top sports leagues. These markets are regulated by the CFTC rather than state sports gambling laws, though state challenges can make it difficult to access sports markets in some states.

For more prediction market app reviews and bonuses, see these pages from SportsHandle:

  • Crypto.com referral code
  • Coinbase promo code
  • Verse Picks referral code
  • Smarkets promo code
  • OG.com referral code
  • Matchbook promo code